FIDE ELO Calculations

NOTE: All ELO-calculations as given below are inofficial calcuations, which might include mistakes following wrong choice of coefficient or other Lahlumian blunders. ELO-calculations from the tournament are unsure also as the calculations have to be based upon the ELOs as made official by FIDE 01.10.2005, although a number of them are obviously wrong and will later have to be corrected from FIDE.    

1) GM Magnus CARLSEN (NOR)

ELO: 2570.

Average of opponents: 2431.

Expected score: 6,03/9.

Actual score: 8,0/9.

ELO-performance: 2792.

Change of ELO: +19,7.

2) GM Vladimir DOBROV (RUS)

ELO: 2515.

Average of opponents: 2364.

Expected score: 6,21/9.

Actual score: 7,0/9.

ELO-performance: 2584.

Change of ELO: +7,9.

3) GM Kaido KULAOTS (EST)

ELO: 2558

Average of opponents: 2411.

Expected score: 6,12/9.

Actual score: 6,5/9.

ELO-performance: 2577.

Change of ELO: +3,8.

4) GM Vladimir BURMAKIN (RUS)

ELO: 2508.

Average of opponents: 2369.

Expected score: 6,12/9.

Actual score: 6,5/9.

ELO-performance: 2535.

Change of ELO: +3,8. 

5) GM Ralf ÅKESSON (SWE)

ELO: 2486.

Average of opponents: 2392.

Expected score: 5,58/9.

Actual score: 6,0/9.

ELO-performance: 2517.

Change of ELO: +4,2.

6) GM Dejan ANTIC (SCG)

ELO: 2519.

Average of opponents: 2379.

Expected score: 6,12/9.

Actual score: 6,0/9.

ELO-performance: 2504.

Change of ELO: -1,2.

7) GM Stellan BRYNELL (SWE)

ELO: 2496.

Average of opponents: 2339.

Expected score: 6,30/9.

Actual score: 6,0/9.

ELO-performance: 2464.

Change of ELO: -3,0.

8) FM Øystein HOLE (NOR)

ELO: 2336

Average of opponents: 2314.

Expected score: 4,77/9.

Actual score: 6,0/9.

ELO-performance: 2439.

Change of ELO: +18,5.

(Hole made his third IM-norm with a technical performance of 2452, as his first round opponents having an ELO of 1986 counts for 2100 related to the IM-norm calculations. Trying to explain the logics behind this rule: Keeping aside his first round Hole has a performance of 2451, and whatever his opponent's rating it would be unfair if he then lost the norm because of winning the first round game.)

9) GM Arnaud HAUCHARD (FRA)

ELO: 2483.

Average of opponents: 2327.

Expected score: 6,39/9.     

Actual score: 5,5/9.

ELO-performance: 2407.

Change of ELO: -8,9.

10) GM Lars KARLSSON (SWE)

ELO: 2501.

Average of opponents: 2326.

Expected score: 6,48/9.

Actual score: 5,5/9.

ELO-performance: 2406.

Change of ELO: -9,8.

11) FM Geir Sune TALLAKSEN (NOR)
ELO: 2350.
Average of opponents: 2294.
Expected score: 5,13/9.
Actual score: 5,5/9.

ELO-performance: 2374.

Change of ELO: +5,6.

12) FM Simon SILSETH (SWE)
ELO: 2328.
Average of opponents: 2239.

Expected score: 5,58/9.

Actual score: 5,5/9.

ELO-performance: 2319.

Change of ELO: -1,2.

13) FM Torbjørn RINGDAL HANSEN (NOR)
ELO: 2323.
Average of opponents: 2169.
Expected score: 5,5/9.
Actual score: 6,39/9.

ELO-performance: 2249.

Change of ELO: -13,4.

14) Rune MYHRVOLD (NOR)
ELO: 2164.
Average of opponents: 2151.
Expected score: 4,68/9.
Actual score: 5,5/9.

ELO-performance: 2231.

Change of ELO: +12,3.

15) Sjur FERKINGSTAD (NOR)
ELO: 2239.
Average of 8 rated opponents: 2153.
Expected score: 4,96/8.
Actual score: 4,5/8.

ELO-performance: 2196.

Change of ELO: -8,1.

16) Øyvind BENTSEN (NOR)
ELO: 2146.
Average of 7 rated opponents: 2402.
Expected score: 1,40/7.
Actual score: 3,0/7.

ELO-performance: 2352.

Change of ELO: +24,0.

17) Håkon BENTSEN (NOR)

ELO: 2158.
Average of 8 rated opponents: 2297.
Expected score: 2,56/8.
Actual score: 4,0/8.

ELO-performance: 2297.

Change of ELO: +21,6.

18) IM Jean-Luc SERET (FRA)
ELO: 2391.
Average of opponents: 2211.
Expected score: 6,57/9.

Actual score: 5,0/9.

ELO-performance: 2254.

Change of ELO: -15,7.

19) Stein Arild AARLAND (NOR)

ELO: 2278.
Average of opponents: 2209.
Expected score: 5,40/9.
Actual score: 5,0/9.

ELO-performance: 2252.

Change of ELO: -6,0.

20) Lars BREIVIK (NOR)

ELO: 2236.
Average of opponents: 2169.
Expected score: 5,31/9.
Actual score: 5,0/9.

ELO-performance: 2212.

Change of ELO: -4,7.

21) FM Felix NORDSTRÖM (SWE)
ELO: 2184.
Average of opponents: 2258.
Expected score: 3,60/9.
Actual score: 4,5/9.

ELO-performance: 2258.

Change of ELO: +13,5.

22) GM Heikki WESTERINEN (FIN)
ELO: 2410.
Average of opponents: 2231.
Expected score: 6,48/9.
Actual score: 4,5/9.

ELO-performance: 2231.

Change of ELO: -19,8.

23) WIM Heather RICHARDS (ENG)

ELO: 2239.

Average of 8 rated opponents: 2264.

Expected score: 3,76/8.

Actual score: 3,5/8.

ELO-performance: 2221.

Change of ELO: -3,60.

24) Bertil SVENDSEN (NOR)

ELO: 2205.

Average of 8 rated opponents: 2251.

Expected score: 3,52/8.

Actual score: 3,5/8.

ELO-performance: 2208.

Change of ELO: -0,3.

25) FM Jon Ludvig HAMMER (NOR)

ELO: 2278.

Average of 8 rated opponents: 2229.

Expected score: 4,56/8.

Actual score: 3,5/8.

ELO-performance: 2186.

Change of ELO: -15,9.

26) Frode O.O. URKEDAL (NOR)

ELO: 2141.

Average of opponents: 2187.

Expected score: 3,96/9.

Actual score: 4,5/9.

ELO-performance: 2187.

Change of ELO: +13,5.

27) Sigmund REPPEN (NOR)

ELO: 1916.

Average of opponents: 2179.

Expected score: 1,71/9.

Actual score: 4,5/9.

ELO-performance: 2179.

Change of ELO: +69,8.

28) Odin BLIKRA VEA (NOR)

ELO: 2090.

Average of 8 rated opponents: 2205.

Expected score: 2,88/8.

Actual score: 3,5/8.

ELO-performance: 2162.

Change of ELO: +9,3.

29) Emil AGDESTEIN (NOR)

ELO 2057.

Average of 7 rated opponents: 2182.

Expected score: 2,45/7.

Actual score: 2,5/7.

ELO-performance: 2080.

Change of ELO: +0,8.

30) Thomas THOMASSEN (NOR)

ELO: 2077.

Average of 7 rated opponents: 2092.

Expected score: 3,36/7.

Actual score: 3,5/7.

ELO-performance: 2092.

Change of ELO: +2,1.

31) Tarjei J. SVENSEN (NOR)

ELO: 2112.

Average of opponents: 2180.

Expected score: 3,78/9.

Actual score: 4,0/9.

ELO-performance: 2137.

Change of ELO: +3,3.

32) Joachim THOMASSEN (NOR)

ELO: 1963.

Average of opponents: 2158.

Expected score: 2,25/9.

Actual score: 4,0/9.

ELO-performance: 2115.

Change of ELO: +43,8.

33) WFM Jessie GILBERT (ENG)

ELO: 2148.

Average of 7 rated opponents: 2190.

Expected score: 3,08/7.

Actual score: 2,0/7.

ELO-performance: 2032.

Change of ELO: -16,2.

34) Øystein BØYUM FOSSUM (NOR)

ELO: 2247.

Average of opponents: 2087.

Expected score: 6,39/9.

Actual score: 4,0/9.

ELO-performance: 2044.

Change of ELO: -35,9.

35) Espen HAUGSTAD (NOR)

ELO: Unrated.

Average of rated opponents: 2089.

Score against rated opponents: 4,0/9.

ELO-performance: 2046.

ELO-norm: 2046 (9 games).

36) Johannes KVISLA (NOR)

ELO: 2123.

Average of 8 rated opponents: 2064.

Expected score: 4,32/8.

Actual score: 3,5/8.

ELO-performance: 2021.

Change of ELO: -12,3. 

37) Kristian AANDAL (NOR)

ELO: 1941.

Average of 6 rated opponents: 2086.

Expected score against rated opponents: 1,86/6.

Actual score against rated opponents: 2,5/6.

ELO-performance: 2029.

Change of ELO: +9,6.

38) Kevin WHITE

ELO: 2069.

Average of 8 rated opponents: 2125.

Expected score against rated opponents: 3,44/8.

Actual score against rated opponents: 2,5/8.

ELO-performance: 1984.

Change of ELO: -14,1.

39) Nicolai GETZ (NOR)

ELO: 1913.

Average of rated opponents: 2073.

Expected score against rated opponents: 2,61/9.

Actual score against rated opponents: 3,5/9.

ELO-performance: 1993.

Change of ELO: +22,3.

40) Håkon ASTRUP (NOR)
ELO: 1943.

Average of 7 rated opponents: 2106.

Expected score against rated opponents: 1,96/7.

Actual score against rated opponents: 2,0/7.

ELO-performance: 1948.

Change of ELO: +1,0.

41) Terje LIE (NOR)

ELO: Unrated.

Average of 8 rated opponents: 2041.

Score against rated opponents: 2,5/8.

ELO-performance: 1900.

ELO-norm: 1900 (8 games).

42) Jarle NILSEN (NOR)

ELO: Unrated.

Average of 7 rated opponents: 2034.

Score against rated opponents: 1,5/7.

ELO-performance: 1804.

ELO-norm: 1804 (7 games).

43) Jan Arne BJØRGVIK (NOR)

ELO: 2119.

Average of 7 rated opponents: 2019.

Expected score against rated opponents: 4,48/7.

Actual score against rated opponents: 3,0/7.

ELO-performance: 1969.

Change of ELO: -37,0.

44) Joar G. PETTERSEN (NOR)

ELO: 2050.

Average of 5 rated opponents: 2094.

Expected score against rated opponents: 2,30/5.

Actual score against rated opponents: 1,0/5.

ELO-performance: 1854.

Change of ELO: -32,5.

45) Håkon STRAND (NOR)

ELO: 1986.

Average of 7 rated opponents: 2166.

Expected score against rated opponents: 1,82/7.

Actual score against rated opponents: 2,0/7.

ELO-performance: 2008.

Change of ELO: +4,5.

46) Ellen CARLSEN (NOR)

ELO: 1866.

Average of rated opponents: 2106.

Expected score against rated opponents: 1,80/9.

Actual score against rated opponents: 3,0/9.

ELO-performance: 1981.

Change of ELO: +18,0.

47) Henrik SJØL (NOR)

ELO: Unrated.

Average of 8 rated opponents: 2090.

Score against rated opponents: 3,0/8.

ELO-performance: 2003.

ELO-norm: 2003 (8 games).

48) Per JOHANSSON (NOR)

ELO: 2005.

Average of 6 rated opponents: 2183.

Expected score against rated opponents: 1,62/6.

Actual score against rated opponents: 1,0/6.

ELO-performance: 1910.

Change of ELO: -9,30.

49) Christian HARSTAD (NOR)

ELO: 2078.

Average of 7 rated opponents: 2114.

Expected score against rated opponents: 3,29/7.

Actual score against rated opponents: 2,0/7.

ELO-performance: 1956.

Change of ELO: -19,4.

50) Askild BRYN (NOR)

ELO: 2019.

Average of 6 rated opponents: 2086.

Expected score against rated opponents: 2,46/6.

Actual score against rated opponents: 1,0/6.

ELO-performance: 1813.

Change of ELO: -21,9.

51) Anders HOBBER (NOR)

ELO: 1915.

Average of 7 rated opponents: 2172.

Expected score against rated opponents: 1,40/7.

Actual score against rated opponents: 1,50/7.

ELO-performance: 1942.

Change of ELO: +2,5.

52) Maria PITZ JACOBSEN  (NOR)

ELO: Unrated.

Average of 7 rated opponents: 2049.

Score against rated opponents: 1,0/7.

ELO-performance: 1740.

ELO-norm: 1740 (8 games).